Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 283.542557 320.669879 361.989290 411.594167 469.804584 536.281839 618.422659
2025-06-01 226.820332 274.967809 333.390868 410.335130 510.252639 637.359679 814.143059
2025-06-08 192.676942 244.074756 310.001654 402.306506 530.724617 706.959278 974.179632
2025-06-15 171.693920 225.261953 297.117829 402.919457 558.903909 787.437351 1161.586501
2025-06-22 152.659715 205.956851 280.061898 393.748347 569.627540 842.004365 1318.720771
2025-06-29 139.591766 193.086766 269.911502 392.276875 590.242093 913.339795 1516.608247
2025-07-06 124.879773 176.147408 251.673919 375.627306 583.550162 937.863977 1636.350679
2025-07-13 119.934316 173.029413 253.595144 390.547660 630.380794 1060.966174 1968.753969
2025-07-20 115.990145 170.928132 256.657326 407.380989 682.619107 1202.977406 2377.330587
2025-07-27 109.561911 164.279605 251.652618 409.628160 708.462684 1298.980625 2713.518874
2025-08-03 101.574622 154.433856 240.416891 399.454711 709.135499 1344.036422 2943.804277
2025-08-10 94.824256 146.070261 230.902464 391.251245 712.310913 1394.593838 3202.244569
2025-08-17 91.869484 143.922726 232.064995 403.449506 759.453721 1553.199556 3805.363826
2025-08-24 87.043879 138.238548 226.541431 402.277842 778.654139 1652.529506 4283.211748
2025-08-31 81.728118 131.298386 218.143877 394.438616 782.072540 1714.437999 4672.729397
2025-09-07 78.075909 127.001938 214.183202 395.037070 804.411976 1828.729796 5279.598889
2025-09-14 73.494189 120.729553 206.035432 386.085034 803.276183 1881.275249 5698.365217
2025-09-21 70.237996 116.634593 201.676131 384.648608 819.858524 1986.168533 6360.287036
2025-09-28 65.473736 109.486249 190.936980 368.393507 797.809184 1976.786561 6573.380888
2025-10-05 64.600970 109.484084 194.094834 382.960539 855.592386 2216.775169 7955.572460
2025-10-12 63.929757 109.802306 197.891420 399.391609 921.223159 2500.538034 9738.553398
2025-10-19 61.818023 107.227735 195.631878 401.584795 948.930816 2669.649196 11090.551485
2025-10-26 58.669473 102.464670 188.542281 391.655215 941.382262 2717.002828 11830.601170